The British government have finally published their Great Repeal Bill. It’s not much to write about. It just moves all EU law into British law and tidies up a few things that nobody cares about. But several politicians have realised it gives UK ministers a back door to change legislation as it gets repatriated to these shores. And it also gives them powers to circumvent hard-won independence from the troublesome provinces. Theresa May, like all good Westminster politicians, should ignore their protests. They seem to be looking for money, just like in Ireland. They shouldn’t get it. Their howls are not accompanied by much power.
What Britain thinks of Brexit is as impossible to determine as what Britain thinks of Trump. So we won’t try.
But there are some interesting, not to say, delicious, troubles brewing. It’s going to be a fantastic 18 months for all those who study politics. And a depressingly boring time for everyone else.
One of the most striking miscalculations is on the side of the EU nations and their unelected technocrat spokesnobodies. Bearing in mind that their answer to problems in Europe is always ‘more Europe’, they seem to think that the way to handle British intransigence is ‘more technocrat press conferences’. They are so wrong it is laughable.
The one thing that will unite remoaners behind the Brexit banner, the one thing, is EU technocrats trying to bully us as we leave. Talk of a £100 billion exit bill, whether in pounds, euros or yen, is fanciful. It makes them look naive and optimistic. And naive optimism is what got us into this mess in the first place. It is not a solution.
The other joke is that the EU is united. It never has been, and never will be. There are so many EU spokesnobodies that we don’t know who to talk to. Is it Junkcer? or Barnier? Or that guy from the parliament? Or is it the leaders of the EU countries themselves? Or is it their business leaders? The answer, the correct answer, is none of these.
We should be talking to the British people and ignoring all the noise from offshore. The one certainty we have is that if Britain simply walks away and refuses to talk, we will leave the EU in March 2019. That is a bigger timebomb for the EU than it is for us. Fairly obviously, the money at stake on the EU side is bigger than on ours. They will immediately lose £12 billion a year (or whatever it is) from net British contributions. That number is enough to make the accountants cry. They have no unity on how to find that extra money, so they are trying to get Britain to pay. It is so ludicrous as to be contemptible. We should make it look as though we are walking away come the autumn.
If making it look as though we will walk away doesn’t work, we should walk away. Sit quiet for 6 months and see what happens. They’ll be lucky if Barnier and Juncker aren’t sacked. And we will be lucky if they are.
So the message to take from all this noisy posturing and EU twattery is to remember you are British. It not only makes you better than them, it makes you right. You were right about everything else for the last 500 years, and you are right that the EU is a doomed chaotic mess. Better out than in, as the nun said to the bishop.